Paper Briefing 2026-09-11

Quantitative Economic History

No new items today.

Causal Inference & Applied Microeconometrics

4 items

Optimal Covariate Adjustment beyond the Average Treatment Effect: Treated-Population and Overlap-Weighted Estimands

arXiv econ.EM Shoki Okubo · 2026-09-10

Shows the graphical theory of optimal covariate adjustment for the ATE does not extend to the treated-population estimand, deriving exact efficiency-bound identities and proving no analogous graphical optimality criterion exists.

Experimental Design for Policy Choice

arXiv econ.EM Samuel D. Higbee · 2026-09-10

Derives an asymptotically optimal design for a second wave of adaptive experimentation aimed at welfare-maximizing policy choice, applied to a conditional cash transfer experiment.

Identification in Linear Quantile Panel Models

arXiv econ.EM Shakeeb Khan, Elie Tamer · 2026-09-10

Khan and Tamer establish identification in linear quantile panel models with unrestricted individual heterogeneity under strict exogeneity alone, for fixed and small T.

Average Treatment Effect Localization: Projection Methods in Synthetic Control

arXiv econ.EM Ruei-Chi Lee · 2026-09-08

Extends synthetic control to recover localized short-term treatment effects via a sieve-based time-varying factor model, applied to right-to-carry laws and violent crime.

Institutional & Political Economy

No new items today.

Sports Economics

1 item

Earnings of Female Coaches in European Soccer

JSE Matheus Galdino, Katrin Scharfenkamp, Pamela Wicker · 2026-09-10

Survey evidence that UEFA coaching licenses and weekly coaching hours raise European female soccer coaches' earnings, with quantile regressions showing career-goal heterogeneity in returns.

Everything else (4)

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arXiv econ.EMACT, WAIT, or EXPERIMENT: A Causal Governance Framework for Retail Price Optimization Under AbstentionsarXiv Econometrics · Pedro Cadahia
arXiv econ.EMGenerative Marketing Mix Modeling: A Causal Inference Framework Linking GEO and GEM to Business ImpactarXiv Econometrics · Masahiro Kato, Daiki Honma, Taka Kato
arXiv econ.EMMarket-Informed Networks for Modeling and Forecast Evaluation of Financial ExtremesarXiv Econometrics · Ayla Jungbluth, Johannes Lederer, Simon Trimborn
arXiv econ.GNExpected Shortfall Factor Models: Common Tail Losses and Expected ReturnsarXiv General Economics · Yujie Hou, Xinbing Kong, Yalin Wang, Bin Wu