Paper Briefing 2026-09-10

Quantitative Economic History

2 items

Impacts of coal smoke on infant mortality: Evidence from industrializing Japan

EcHR Tatsuki Inoue · 2026-09-09

Prefecture-level panel data on coal consumption and infant mortality in industrializing Japan (1899-1910) links fossil-fuel industrialization to health costs outside the Western context.

The first bear raid and squeeze: Isaac Le Maire and the Dutch East India Company

EcHR Oscar Gelderblom, Abe de Jong, Joost Jonker · 2026-09-09

Reconstructs the 1609-1611 forward trade to characterize the VOC bear raid by Isaac Le Maire as an early episode of short-selling and a market squeeze.

Causal Inference & Applied Microeconometrics

2 items

When is statistical evidence strong enough? Using hypothesis tests to value data collection

arXiv econ.EM Aristotelis Epanomeritakis, Davide Viviano · 2026-09-08

Recasts statistical significance as a decision to act now versus collect more data, proposing an A-value that prioritizes further experimentation by welfare-relevant break-even cost.

Two Margins in Difference-in-Differences with a Continuous Treatment

arXiv econ.EM Fangzhou Yu · 2026-09-08

Decomposes the DiD estimator under a continuous, staggered-adoption treatment into a level margin and a response margin, each requiring its own parallel-trends assumption.

Institutional & Political Economy

1 item

Debt deflation and the rise of the Nazi party

EEH Thilo N.H. Albers, Felix Kersting, Monique Reiske · 2026-09-09

Historical political economy tying interwar debt-deflation dynamics to the electoral rise of the Nazi party.

Sports Economics

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Everything else (9)

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CERGE-EIWho Responds to Intermittent Energy Nudges? Heterogeneity by Socioeconomic Status and Female Education in ArmeniaCERGE-EI Working Papers · Sargsyan Yermone, Salim Turdaliev, Silvester van Koten
arXiv econ.GNBuy Now, Pay Later: Academic Insights and Open Policy QuestionsarXiv General Economics · Benedict Guttman-Kenney, Walter W. Zhang
arXiv econ.GNCredible Discourse on Climate Policy: Beyond Dueling CertitudesarXiv General Economics · Charles F. Manski
arXiv econ.GNDo wind and solar curtail at negative electricity prices? Incentives and evidence across two decades of German renewable support schemesarXiv General Economics · Lion Hirth
arXiv econ.GNHigh Volume Low Complexity Surgical Hubs in England: Can They Improve Physician Productivity?arXiv General Economics · Zecharias Anteneh, Adriana Castelli, Peter Sivey, Andrew Street, Jinglin Wen, Joy Adamson
arXiv econ.GNHow an Economy Shrinks in Space: Concavity-on-Jobs and Upward Consolidation under Demographic DeclinearXiv General Economics · Tomoya Mori, Miki Ogawa
arXiv econ.GNItalian Business-to-Business Invoicing Data: A Network AnalysisarXiv General Economics · Valerio Astuti, Daniele Piras
arXiv econ.GNReducing Prescription Errors Through Information Intervention: A Field Experiment in Healthcare OperationsarXiv General Economics · Xiaodan Shao, Vivek Choudhary, Arnab Majumdar
arXiv econ.GNStrategic communication of narratives: An experimentarXiv General Economics · Gerrit Bauch, Arthur Dolgopolov, Manuel Foerster