Paper Briefing 2026-09-08

Quantitative Economic History

1 item

Rain Follows the Forest: Land Use Policy, Climate Change, and Adaptation

NBER Florian Grosset-Touba, Anna Papp, Charles A. Taylor · September 2026

Uses downwind counties as a natural experiment to measure the long-run climate effects of the 1930s Great Plains Shelterbelt afforestation program, a clean example of quantitative identification applied to a historical policy.

Causal Inference & Applied Microeconometrics

2 items

PLRD: Partially Linear Regression Discontinuity Inference

NBER Aditya Ghosh, Guido Imbens, Stefan Wager · September 2026

Proposes a new partially linear regression discontinuity estimator to fix the poor practical coverage of standard RD confidence intervals.

Cross-Section Estimation of Long-Run Relations Using Time-Compressed Data

NBER Serena Ng, Nikolay Gospodinov · September 2026

Panel-econometrics paper showing that cross-section regressions on time-compressed I(1) data inflate variability relative to what standard inference assumes.

Institutional & Political Economy

6 items

An Empirically-Grounded Theory of Voting Based on Prosocial Motives

NBER Dan M. Bernhardt, Laurent Bouton, Stefan Krasa, Francesco Squintani · September 2026

Builds a costly-voting model with prosocial motives to reconcile empirical patterns in electoral turnout, a theoretical contribution to political-institutions research.

Politics-driven Market Access and Its Cost: Evidence from China’s Grand Canal

NBER Ying Bai, Xiaoyu Bian, Ruixue Jia · September 2026

Uses the Mongols' relocation of China's capital to identify how much a canal built to serve political rather than market logic cost in misallocated market access.

Religion in Emerging and Developing Regions

NEP-CUL University of California at San Diego Lowes, Sara, Marx, Benjamin, Montero, Eduardo · 2026-08-07

Review of global trends in religiosity and its determinants and consequences, treating religion as an economically consequential informal institution in developing regions.

Culture and constitutional compliance

NEP-CUL Papers Jerg Gutmann, Anna Lewczuk-Czerwi\'nska, Jacek Lewkowicz, Stefan Voigt · 2026-08

Cross-country study of 115 countries finding more individualistic societies show higher constitutional compliance, linking culture to the durability of political constraints.

The political economy of brain drain

NEP-MIG Discussion Papers Grigoriadis, Theocharis, Veselov, Dmitriy · 2026

Political-economy model of skilled-worker exit in which governments trade off the fiscal value of retaining skilled citizens against the political threat they pose.

Land tenure security, crop choices, and agricultural input investment decisions: Evidence from nationally representative data in Nigeria

NEP-DEV IFPRI discussion papers Olanrewaju, Opeyemi, Kirui, Oliver K., Popoola, Olufemi, Bamiwuye, Temilolu, Nwagboso, Chibuzo, Fasoranti, Adetunji · 2026-06-26

Uses nationally representative Nigerian data to show plot-level land tenure security shapes crop choice and input investment, a property-rights institutions question.

Sports Economics

4 items

Everything else (55)

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NBERAir Pollution and LearningNBER Working Papers · A. Patrick Behrer, Joshua Goodman, J. Parker Goyer, R. Jisung Park
NBERBehavioral Signatures of Cognitive NoiseNBER Working Papers · Ryan Oprea, Michael Woodford
NBERComparisonsNBER Working Papers · Thomas Graeber, Benjamin Enke
NBERDo Online Job Postings Capture Job Vacancies?NBER Working Papers · Michael Dalton, Lisa B. Kahn, Andreas I. Mueller
NBERDoes AI Assistance Enhance or Erode Expertise? Evidence from a Three-Month Field Experiment in Patent DraftingNBER Working Papers · David Autor, Tanya Rodchenko, Josh Martin, Zanna Iscenko, Scott Strand, David Pearl & 1 more
NBERDynamic Investment and Product Market Rivalry: the Network Q ModelNBER Working Papers · M. Cecilia Bustamante, Bruno Pellegrino
NBERExpectations-based Capital Inflow ShocksNBER Working Papers · Jongrim Ha, Dohan Kim, M. Ayhan Kose, Francis E. Warnock
NBERFemale Micro-Entrepreneurship and Child DevelopmentNBER Working Papers · Andrew Foster, Moritz Poll, Hyun Soo Suh
NBERFiscal Policy and the Saving Glut of the RichNBER Working Papers · Francesco Bianchi, Nicolò Ceneri, Leonardo Melosi, Alessandro T. Villa
NBERHealth Insurance Underwriting and the Heterogeneous Effects of the Affordable Care ActNBER Working Papers · Pietro Tebaldi, Andrea Scalenghe, Joseph Orsini
NBERHow Big is Small? The Economic Effects of Access to Small Business Government SupportNBER Working Papers · J. David Brown, Matthew Denes, Ran Duchin, John Hackney
NBERIs a Dollar a Dollar? How Transfer Design Shapes Household SpendingNBER Working Papers · Therese Bonomo, Krista J. Ruffini, Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach
NBERLoan Rates as Incentive InstrumentsNBER Working Papers · Kinda Cheryl Hachem
NBERMeetingsNBER Working Papers · David J. Deming, Katrine V. Løken, Alexander Willén, Yaling Xu
NBERPensions and Turbulence: Automatic Adjustment, Risk, and Fairness in Long-Term Pension DesignNBER Working Papers · Peter A. Diamond
NBERRational Inattention to Discrete Choices with Stable PriorsNBER Working Papers · Bruno Pellegrino
NBERRisk Perceptions of E-Cigarettes and the Evaluation of EVALI MessagingNBER Working Papers · Lawrence Jin, Donald S. Kenkel, Alan D. Mathios, Grace N. Phillips, Revathy Suryanarayana, Hua Wang
NBERRust in Motion: The Political Environmental Trap of Vehicle Tax ExemptionsNBER Working Papers · Gabriel Facundes Monteiro, Edson R. Severnini
NBERSignals, Steps, and Setbacks: Age Discrimination in a Laddered Labor MarketNBER Working Papers · Shuaizhang Feng, Lars Lefgren, Jieyi Liu, Brennan Platt, Xiaoyu Xia
NBERThe Allocative Cost of War: A View to a Kill...ing of ProductivityNBER Working Papers · Marvin Amann, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Oleksandr Talavera
NBERThe Impact of Patient CapitalNBER Working Papers · Yingxiang Li, Tong Liu, Ting Xu
NBERThe Limits of Verifiability: Credibility and Flexibility in CommunicationNBER Working Papers · Alessandro Lizzeri, Yichuan Lou, Jacopo Perego
NBERThe Multigenerational Effects of Legal Access to the Pill on Infant HealthNBER Working Papers · Hamid Noghanibehambari, David Slusky, Erdal Tekin, Hoa Vu
NBERThe No Surprises Act’s Surprises: Arbitration, Provider Network, and Insurer PricingNBER Working Papers · Panle Jia Barwick, Anran Li, Tianli Xia, Shizhe Yu
NBERThe Utility of AI Tools in Auditing Adherence to Pre-Analysis PlansNBER Working Papers · Jeffrey Clemens, Anwita Mahajan
NBERTracking Inequality: Teachers and the Allocation of Educational OpportunitiesNBER Working Papers · Michela Carlana, Francesca Miserocchi, Eleonora Patacchini
NBERUnemployment Insurance in Macroeconomic Stabilization with Imperfect ExpectationsNBER Working Papers · Bence Bardóczy, Joao Guerreiro
NBERWill New Transportation Technologies Increase Urban DensityNBER Working Papers · Edward L. Glaeser
NBER“Non-Marginal” Investor BeliefsNBER Working Papers · William N. Goetzmann, Dasol Kim, Robert J. Shiller
NEP-CBEHKC08 - Neglect at Your Own Risk? Evidence on Risk-Taking Prevalence and Motives from the FieldOberlin College Kasper Economics and Business Working Papers Series · Bhargava, Saurabh, Hyde, Timothy
NEP-CULCollective creativity beyond time constraints: the role of lived temporal experience in online creative workPost-Print · Edith Prat
NEP-CULNews Consumption in the Digital AgeCESifo Working Paper Series · Francesco Capozza, Ingar Haaland, Christopher Roth, Johannes Wohlfart, Ingar K. Haaland
NEP-DEVBlossoming TownsHoSS Working Paper Series · Bishop, Menna, Moneke, Niclas, Zipfel, Céline
NEP-DEVCan local procurement for food aid foster market development? Evidence from indirect conditional contracting in UgandaIFPRI discussion papers · Abate, Gashaw T., Mugabo, Serge, Raghunathan, Kalyani, Van Campenhout, Bjorn
NEP-DEVCapital and Female Employment in ManufacturingEconomics Discussion / Working Papers · Rakesh Banerjee, Tushar Bharati, Swami Jishnurupananda
NEP-DEVClimate Anomalies, Seasonal Interactions, and Input Responses in Cocoa Production: Evidence from Côte d’Ivoire2026 Annual Meeting · Coulibaly, Salifou K., McNamara, Paul
NEP-DEVCoping with Weather ShocksIZA Discussion Papers · Alfano, Marco, Goerlach, Joseph-Simon
NEP-DEVFood environment, dietary patterns, and anthropometric outcomes of women in the Indian rural-urban interfaceSustainable Food Systems Discussion Papers · Ekaba, Michael, Purushotham, Anjali, Cramon-Taubadel, Stephan von
NEP-DEVFrom Farms to Non-Farm and Back: Job Dynamics in Nigeria2026 Annual Meeting · Liu, Xufeng
NEP-DEVGender asset-ownership gap, women's agency, and its implications for household inequality: Evidence from NigeriaIFPRI discussion papers · Kirui, Oliver K., Olanrewaju, Opeyemi, Bamiwuye, Temilolu, Popoola, Olufemi, Nwagboso, Chibuzo
NEP-DEVSchools in the Shadow of Toxic Sites: Pollution Proximity in Low- and Middle-Income CountriesWorking Papers · Lee Crawfurd
NEP-DEVThe Agricultural Gender Gap in Sub-Saharan Africa : Magnitude, Drivers, and Policy DirectionsPolicy Research Working Paper Series · Donald, Aletheia Amalia, Tafere, Kibrom
NEP-DEVThe Limited Structural Impact of Rural Electrification: Village-Level Evidence from CambodiaKeio-IES Discussion Paper Series · Shen Shen, Hiroyuki Yamada
NEP-DEVThe early bird gets the cash: Early notification and conditional cash transfers for secondary schoolIFPRI discussion papers · Leight, Jessica, Gilligan, Daniel O., Mulford, Michael, Zafar, Sarim
NEP-DEVWomen's Downside Risk Exposure as a Barrier to Agricultural Investment and Technology Adoption2026 Annual Meeting · Kramer, Berber, Cecchi, Francesco, Levine, Madison
NEP-MIGCross-Border Remittances and Poverty Reduction in Developing CountriesBSP Discussion Paper Series · Benjamin A. Endriga, Alyssa Cyrielle B. Villanueva
NEP-MIGIn the Shadow of Brothers: Sibling Spillovers in Migrant FamiliesDiscussion Papers of DIW Berlin · Anna Hasselqvist
NEP-MIGLabor Supply Shock and Firm Innovation: Evidence from EU EnlargementETLA Working Papers · Maczulskij, Terhi
NEP-MIGSkilled-Worker Visas for Refugee Talents : An Impact EvaluationThe Social Policy and Labor Discussion Paper Series · Brizar, Marina, Maystadt, Jean-François, Moussa, Nour, Rostom, Nada, Siu, Jade, Sterck, Olivier & 1 more
NEP-SPOA refined analysis of the datasets used in "Decoding the elite soccer player's psychological profile"I4R Discussion Paper Series · Bonetti, Leonardo, Vestberg, Torbjörn, Jafari, Reza, Seghezzi, Debora, Ingvar, Martin, Kringelbach, Morten L. & 2 more
NEP-SPOComment on Sobrinho, G.M.R.; Ferreira, H.G.; McDuff, D.R.; Filgueiras, A. Prevalence and Levels of Symptoms of Anxiety, Depression and Suicidal Ideation Amongst Elite Male Soccer Players: An Age- and Education-Matched Controlled StudyI4R Discussion Paper Series · Jakobsson, Niklas, Moore, Kristjan, Barbarioli, Bruno, Brodeur, Abel
NEP-SPOMissing the target: Gambling adverts on social media were 28 times as likely to breach restrictions on targeting young adults under UK industry self-regulation than under Dutch lawLawArchive · Xiao, Leon Y., Deery, Callum, Lo, Ching Yiu, Xiaoyao, Ren, Huang, Yuchen, Tattan-Birch, Harry
NEP-SPORevisiting the Intra-Team Communication Method to Elicit Level-k Reasoning in Beauty Contests and 11-20 GamesPapers · Zitian Wang, Istiak Ahmed, Patarasate Unjitwattana, Emily Yunxi Xie, Meng-Jhang Fong, Po-Hsuan Lin
NEP-SPOZwischen Inszenierung und Echtheit: Digitale Markenwahrnehmung von OKTAGON MMA Deutschland in der Social-Media-KommunikationIU Discussion Papers - Business & Management · Perst, Florian, Schubart, Constantin, Welsch, Valeria
QJEFairness Across the WorldQuarterly Journal of Economics · Ingvild Almås, Alexander W Cappelen, Erik Ø Sørensen, Bertil Tungodden

Paper Briefing

Quantitative Economic History

Rain Follows the Forest: Land Use Policy, Climate Change, and Adaptation

Causal Inference & Applied Microeconometrics

PLRD: Partially Linear Regression Discontinuity Inference

Cross-Section Estimation of Long-Run Relations Using Time-Compressed Data

Institutional & Political Economy

An Empirically-Grounded Theory of Voting Based on Prosocial Motives

Politics-driven Market Access and Its Cost: Evidence from China’s Grand Canal

Religion in Emerging and Developing Regions

Culture and constitutional compliance

The political economy of brain drain

Land tenure security, crop choices, and agricultural input investment decisions: Evidence from nationally representative data in Nigeria

Sports Economics

Dust in the Wind: Causes and Consequences of Managerial Replacements

From Field to Firm: College Sports and Early-Stage Career Choice

Digital Social Pressure, Managerial Decision-Making and Worker Performance: Evidence from Professional Football

Analysing the Impact of the 2010 Soccer World Cup on South Africa: A Synthetic Control Method