Paper Briefing 2026-09-04

Quantitative Economic History

No new items today.

Causal Inference & Applied Microeconometrics

7 items

Natural Disasters and the Nonprofit Sector

arXiv econ.EM Mayleen Cortez-Rodriguez · 2026-09-03

Applies panel causal-inference methods to 1991-2021 county data and finds no causal effect of natural-disaster damage on nonprofit-sector outcomes, contrary to prior associational work.

Randomization Inference for Matched Pairs with Binary Outcomes

arXiv econ.EM Bob Wilson · 2026-09-03

Derives an exact randomization-based confidence set for the ATE in matched-pair binary-outcome studies, avoiding numerical search via a closed-form worst-case allocation.

Off-policy causal estimation in networks

arXiv econ.EM Sahil Loomba, Dean Eckles · 2026-09-02

Constructs minimum-variance off-policy weights for estimating causal effects under interference when the target assignment policy differs from the one used to collect data.

Headline Estimation with Multiple Research Designs

arXiv econ.EM Vod Vilfort · 2026-09-01

Proposes a minimax-regret rule for choosing a headline estimate when a researcher is unsure which of several candidate research designs is valid.

Robust Variance Estimation in Linear Regression: A Projection-Geometry Perspective

arXiv econ.EM Yanping Chen · 2026-09-01

Reframes robust variance estimation in linear regression as a projection-geometry problem, showing standard HC and cluster-robust estimators are restricted cases that can understate uncertainty.

Which Policy Works, and Where? Estimation and Inference for State-Level Treatment Effects in Difference-in-Differences

arXiv econ.EM Nichole Austin, Sunny R. Karim, Erin Strumpf, Matthew D. Webb · 2026-09-01

Compares two DiD estimators (UN-DID, DID-INT) for recovering jurisdiction-level treatment effects when a common policy varies by implementation detail, evaluated via CPS placebo-law simulations.

Manipulation Testing in Boundary Discontinuity Designs

arXiv econ.EM Federico A. Bugni, Federico Crippa, Daniel Restrepo · 2026-08-31

Extends manipulation testing to boundary discontinuity designs with general (multidimensional) boundary shapes, using k-means-grouped binomial balance tests instead of density estimation.

Institutional & Political Economy

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Sports Economics

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Everything else (9)

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ReStudEquity Frictions and Firm OwnershipReview of Economic Studies · Alessandra Peter
arXiv econ.EMEstimation risk in conditional expectilesarXiv Econometrics · Marcelo Fernandes, Vitor Henriques, Eduardo Fonseca Mendes
arXiv econ.EMFoundation models for electricity price forecasting and battery arbitrage: Can they replace market-specific forecasting models?arXiv Econometrics · Arkadiusz Lipiecki, Rafał Weron
arXiv econ.EMIlliquidity at RiskarXiv Econometrics · Demetrio Lacava, Paolo Santucci de Magistris
arXiv econ.EMOptimal Uniform Pricing for Multi-Interval Dispatch without Make-Whole UpliftsarXiv Econometrics · Valentina Norambuena-Guzman, Cong Chen, Lang Tong, Timothy D. Mount
arXiv econ.GNAI and the Economy: An Economic Examination of Production, Distribution, Firms, Labor, and WelfarearXiv General Economics · Ali Zeytoon-Nejad
arXiv econ.GNCompetitive Market Behavior of LLMsarXiv General Economics · Pawel Struski, Jakub Swistak, Inez Okulska, Przemyslaw Biecek
arXiv econ.GNDutch Books for Language ModelsarXiv General Economics · Isaiah Andrews, Suproteem Sarkar
arXiv econ.GNWhat Would it Cost to End Extreme Poverty?arXiv General Economics · Roshni Sahoo, Joshua Blumenstock, Paul Niehaus, Leo Selker, Stefan Wager