Paper Briefing

39 new items across 4 threads · 157 screened · 48 of 50 sources reached

Sources queried this run
NBER Working Papers · arXiv General Economics · arXiv Econometrics · NEP: Business, Economic and Financial History · NEP: Econometrics · NEP: Positive Political Economics · NEP: Sports and Economics · NEP: Cultural Economics · NEP: Evolutionary Economics · NEP: Economic Growth · NEP: History and Philosophy of Economics · NEP: Public Economics · NEP: Demographic Economics · NEP: Migration · NEP: International Trade · NEP: Labour Economics · NEP: Development · NEP: Cognitive and Behavioural Economics · American Economic Review · Econometrica · Journal of Political Economy · Quarterly Journal of Economics · Review of Economic Studies · AEJ: Applied Economics · AEJ: Economic Policy · Review of Economics and Statistics · Journal of Economic Literature · Journal of Economic Perspectives · Journal of Economic History · Explorations in Economic History · European Review of Economic History · Cliometrica · Economic History Review · Public Choice · Journal of Institutional Economics · Quarterly Journal of Political Science · American Political Science Review · Journal of Economic Growth · Journal of Sports Economics · Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers (Yale) · Northwestern CMS-EMS Discussion Papers · Harvard HIER Discussion Papers · UC Berkeley IBER Working Papers · UCLA Economics Working Papers · UC eScholarship Economics Working Papers · CERGE-EI Working Papers · Becker Friedman Institute Working Papers · Princeton IES Working Papers

Quantitative Economic History

21 items

Rising Income Risk at the Top

NBER J. Carter Braxton, Kyle F. Herkenhoff, Chengdai Huang, Michael Nattinger, Jonathan L. Rothbaum, Lawrence D.W. Schmidt · August 2026

digitizednewly digitized

Uses newly digitized IRS tax-return microdata spanning 1969-2019 to show permanent income risk at the top nearly doubled since the 1970s.

Legislating Longevity: State Public Health Laws and Mortality in the Early Twentieth Century

NBER Martin H. Saavedra · August 2026

Assembles the universe of U.S. state public-health laws to test whether early-20th-century legislation, in aggregate, meaningfully lowered mortality.

The Yeoman's Portfolio: Measuring Historical Risk Preferences Using Crop Choice

NEP-HIS Papers Remy Levin, Daniela Vidart · 2026-08

Combines a structural crop-choice model with ML-predicted historical crop returns to recover county- and farmer-level risk preferences in the U.S. Midwest, 1889-1929.

Cultural Evolution

NEP-HIS CESifo Working Paper Series Oded Galor, Marc Klemp, Daniel C. Wainstock · 2026

Galor and coauthors develop a unified long-run theory of cultural evolution driven by population movement and socioeconomic transformation reshaping inherited traits.

Borders of Belief: Protestantism and Social Mobility

NEP-HIS EconStor Preprints Machielsen, Bas, Vicq de Cumptich, Amaury de · 2026

Instruments Dutch municipal Protestant share with 16th-century archdiocesan boundaries to show Protestantism causally raised intergenerational mobility and fiscal capacity.

Traumatic Financial Experiences and Persistent Changes in Financial Behavior: Evidence from the Freedman's Savings Bank

NEP-HIS CEPR Discussion Papers Arthi, Vellore, Richardson, Gary, Van Orden, Mark · 2024-07

Traces the Freedman's Savings Bank's collapse to a lasting shift among Black Americans toward life-insurance saving over the following decades.

Codification, Technology Absorption, and the Globalization of the Industrial Revolution

NEP-HIS CEPR Discussion Papers Juhász, Réka, Sakabe, Shogo, Weinstein, David · 2024-07

New datasets on vernacular codification of technical knowledge show it was necessary for countries to absorb First Industrial Revolution technologies, using Meiji Japan as a natural experiment.

The Long-term Effects of Charity Nurseries: Evidence from Early 20th Century New York

NEP-HIS CEPR Discussion Papers Ager, Philipp, Malein, Viktor · 2024-07

Finds early-20th-century New York charity nurseries raised educational attainment and shifted disadvantaged immigrant children into higher-skill jobs.

Image(s)

NEP-HIS CEPR Discussion Papers Voth, Hans-Joachim, Yanagizawa-Drott, David · 2024-07

Voth and Yanagizawa-Drott introduce methods for using images as a high-frequency source to track the timing and diffusion of style and cultural change.

Development Interventions in Africa's Historical Borderlands: Evidence from Colonial Missions

NEP-HIS CAGE Online Working Paper Series Cermeño, Alexandra L., Quintigliano, Alessandra, Weisdorf, Jacob · 2026

Shows the long-run development advantage of proximity to colonial Christian missions in Africa weakens sharply near historical borderland boundaries.

When Growth Reached the Poor: Occupational and Marriage Mobility in the Balearic Islands, 1841-1870

NEP-HIS IFCS - Working Papers in Economic History.WH Pujadas Mora, Joana Maria, Santiago Caballero, Carlos · 2026-08-24

Reconstructs occupations from civil-registry marriage records, HISCAM/HISCLASS-coded, to measure whether mid-19th-century Spanish growth reached beyond elites in the Balearic Islands.

Geopolitics and Export Miracles: Firm-Level Evidence from U.S. War Procurement in Korea

NEP-HIS CESifo Working Paper Series Philipp Barteska, Oliver Kim, Nathan Lane, Seung Joo Lee · 2026

A new firm-level dataset matching Korean export records to U.S. Vietnam War procurement contracts shows winning a contract substantially raised a firm's export entry and value.

Mind Your Language: Explaining the Retreat of the Irish Language Frontier

NEP-HIS CEPR Discussion Papers Fernihough, Alan, Colvin, Chris, McLaughlin, Eoin · 2024-07

Uses 1901 Irish census microdata to show the retreat of the Irish language was driven by elders' English literacy shaping their children's demand for English.

Sovereign haircuts: 200 years of creditor losses

NEP-HIS CEPR Discussion Papers Graf von Luckner, Clemens, Meyer, Josefin, Reinhart, Carmen, Trebesch, Christoph · 2024-07

A 200-year, 327-restructuring dataset of sovereign debt haircuts finds the roughly 45% average creditor loss has been remarkably stable, though serial restructurings are rising.

Communities of Commerce: The Legacy of Chinese Immigration on Java

NEP-HIS CESifo Working Paper Series Quoc-Anh Do, Sebastian Ellingsen, Gedeon Lim · 2026

Instruments 1930s Chinese population share in Java with 15th-century landing sites that later lost maritime access, finding large and persistent local development gains today.

Local Human Capital Development and Firm Resilience: Evidence from the 1997 Indonesian Crisis

NEP-HIS 2026 Annual Meeting Chawla, Parth · 2026

Links Indonesia's 1970s INPRES school-construction program to greater firm labor-productivity resilience during the 1997 Asian financial crisis.

Population Development In The Roman Empire

NEP-HIS SocArXiv Rasmussen, Ulrik Vachet · 2026-08-18

Integrates Beloch's, Lo Cascio's and Scheidel's competing demographic methods into a continuous Roman Empire population curve, 508 BC-AD 395.

Zoning and the American Suburb

NEP-HIS Working Papers Ryan Gallagher, Allison Shertzer, Tate Twinam · 2026-08-13

Builds the first panel dataset of suburban Chicago zoning maps and bylaws to show comprehensive land-use regulation locked in single-family-dominated suburban form.

Compulsory Schooling Mitigates Health Inequality: Anthropometric Evidence from Two Centuries of Height Data

NEP-HIS CESifo Working Paper Series Caroline Namubiru, Jörg Baten, Alberto Batinti, Joan Costa-i-Font · 2026

Uses two centuries of height-Gini data across 66 countries in a staggered DiD to show compulsory schooling laws reduced long-run health inequality via schooling and fertility channels.

Das Mefo-Verfahren: Eine makrofinanzielle Analyse der verschleierten staatlichen Kreditaufnahme durch bilanzexterne Fiskalagenturen, 1933-1945

NEP-HIS SocArXiv Haas, Armin, Reimer, Friederike, Guter-Sandu, Andrei, Murau, Steffen · 2024-08-30

A macro-financial history of the Mefo bills, the off-balance-sheet fiscal agency Nazi Germany used to conceal rearmament borrowing, 1933-1945.

Superstars or Supervillains? Large Firms in the South Korean Growth Miracle

NEP-HIS CEPR Discussion Papers Choi, Jaedo, Levchenko, Andrei, Ruzic, Dimitrije, Shim, Younghun · 2024-07

New firm-level data from 1972-2011 and a heterogeneous-firm model quantify whether rising firm concentration helped or hurt South Korea's growth miracle.

Causal Inference & Applied Microeconometrics

2 items

Moments of Random Coefficients in Short Panels

arXiv econ.EM Irene Botosaru, James L. Powell · 2026-08-31

Derives necessary and sufficient conditions for identifying moments of random-coefficient panel models even when unit-level coefficients themselves cannot be recovered.

When Can We Work in Embedding Space? What Text Embeddings Preserve

arXiv econ.EM Simon Freyaldenhoven · 2026-08-31

Formalizes when text embeddings can substitute for raw text in clustering or as controls, under a latent-topic generative model.

Institutional & Political Economy

16 items

The asking price of incorporation: State leverage and the evolution of corporate purpose

NEP-HIS LawFin Working Paper Series Kaja, Fatjon · 2026

Argues historical UK royal charters embedded enforceable purpose clauses because incorporation was a state-granted privilege the Crown could price with obligations.

The consequences of a trade collapse: Economics and politics in Weimar Germany

NEP-HIS CEPR Discussion Papers Brey, Bjorn, Facchini, Giovanni · 2024-08

digitizednewly digitized

Using newly digitized data, shows Weimar Germany's Nazi vote surge came less from direct export-sector decline than from trade-induced food-price drops that spread hardship to the agricultural regions the Nazis courted.

Financing Property Rights: Fee-Financed Registration and Unequal Formalisation in Spain, 1845-1935

NEP-HIS IFCS - Working Papers in Economic History.WH Carmona, Juan, Rosés, Joan R. · 2026-08-24

Argues Spain's 19th-century land registry, financed through user fees tied to transfer taxes, created a regressive formalisation regime favoring wealthier landholders.

Markets under Siege: How Political Beliefs Move Financial Markets

NEP-HIS CEPR Discussion Papers Jha, Saumitra, Koudijs, Peter, Salgado, Marcos · 2024-07

Uses the 1870 Siege of Paris as a natural experiment to show political beliefs about war outcomes moved French sovereign bond prices.

Unobserved Contributions and Political Influence: Evidence from the Death of Top Donors

NEP-POL CEPR Discussion Papers Battaglini, Marco, Leone Sciabolazza, Valerio, Lin, Mengwei, Patacchini, Eleonora · 2024-07

Exploits the deaths of top campaign donors to show losing a major donor reduces a U.S. candidate's re-election odds and shifts their legislative voting.

Opening the Black Box of Works Council Elections: Theory and Evidence on the Factors Influencing Voter Turnout

NEP-POL Research Papers in Economics Uwe Jirjahn, Jens Mohrenweiser, Stephen C. Smith · 2026

A theoretical and empirical analysis of what drives voter turnout in German works-council elections, a basic test of workplace democracy.

Downsian Competition for the Myerson Value

NEP-POL Papers Daiki Kishishita · 2026-07

A formal model of parties competing to maximize post-election bargaining (Myerson) power rather than vote share, characterizing equilibria across two- to four-party systems.

Local Decline and Populism

NEP-POL CEPR Discussion Papers Fetzer, Thiemo, Edenhofer, Jacob, Garg, Prashant · 2024-08

New data on 83,000 English and Welsh high-street vacancies show visible local decline raises populist support even among those not directly affected.

Settlers and Seekers: Immigrant Proximity and Voter Polarisation

NEP-POL CEPR Discussion Papers Berticeroni, Carlotta, Piemontese, Lavinia, Prarolo, Giovanni, Schiavone, Antonio · 2024-07

Georeferenced survey data show opening refugee facilities polarises anti-immigration support depending on whether a locality already has an established immigrant community.

Cognitive Abilities and the Demand for Bad Policy

NEP-POL CEPR Discussion Papers Nunnari, Salvatore, Proto, Eugenio, Rustichini, Aldo · 2024-07

Links lower cognitive ability to weaker understanding of policies' indirect effects, and hence greater demand for welfare-reducing policy.

Political Polarization and the Asymmetric Fragility of Political Regimes

NEP-POL International Center for Public Policy Working Paper Series Alberto Chong, Mark Gradstein · 2026-08

V-Dem duration models across 202 countries since 1900 find autocracies are actually more fragile than democracies once regimes already in place in 1900 are excluded.

Political Power-Sharing, Firm Entry, and Economic Growth: Evidence from Multiple Elected Representatives

NEP-POL Papers Harsha Dutta, Pulak Ghosh, Arkodipta Sarkar, Nishant Vats · 2026-08

A geographic discontinuity design from overlapping electoral and administrative boundaries identifies how political power-sharing among co-located representatives affects firm entry and growth.

Newcomers and Gatekeepers: Migrants’ Attitudes toward Immigration

NEP-POL RFBerlin Discussion Paper Series Jonathan Pardo, Sulin Sardoschau · 2026-07

A shift-share/triple-difference design across 138 European regions, 2002-2024, shows migrants' initially pro-immigration attitudes erode toward native levels within two decades.

When Government Uses AI: Experimental Evidence of Selective Trust Decline and Algorithmic Nimbyism

NEP-POL SocArXiv Vigild, Daniel Juhász, Bjerre-Nielsen, Andreas, Mortensen, Laust Hvas, Sekara, Vedran · 2026-08-08

Two preregistered experiments (N=6,084) probe why government use of AI triggers a trust penalty across different public-service domains.

Trading Off Openness: Economic Information and Immigration Policy Preferences

NEP-MIG CESifo Working Paper Series Cristina Cattaneo, Daniela Grieco, Nicola Lacetera, Mario Macis · 2026

A three-country survey experiment finds information about immigration's income effects raises support for open immigration policy, with sizeable estimated income thresholds for majority support.

Conti-Brown, Peter, and Sean H. Vanatta. Private Finance, Public Power: A History of Bank Supervision in America

JEL Joseph R. Mason · 2026-08-31

A JEL book review of 'Private Finance, Public Power', a history of how experimentation and inter-agency rivalry built the American bank-supervision system.

Sports Economics

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